Green up help needed

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Green up help needed

Postby bolpx001 » Fri Apr 10, 2015 1:58 am

Hi I just can't get my head around this. I can green up fine if it is just one bet ie back £4 at 4.0 and if the odds drop to 3.0 I lay 5.33 to make a net profit of 1.33 However when I bet I back and lay and usually end up in a situation where if I do nothing and the horse wins, I lose £5.60 and if it loses I win £4. I need a formula to take care of this and have an even P/L win of lose. I looked at Gary's code in his greenUp spread sheet and am no wiser. Any help of guidance much appreciated. best regards Paul
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Re: Green up help needed

Postby alrodopial » Fri Apr 10, 2015 9:14 am

If I remember correctly there was a post from Garry explaining the maths behind equal.
It was also sticky post but I cant find it
Is the personal message of the forum working?
I cant compose a pm neither see my old messages
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Re: Green up help needed

Postby bolpx001 » Fri Apr 10, 2015 10:44 am

Thanks for the reply alrodopial , hopefully somebody will come up with a simple formula :)
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Re: Green up help needed

Postby osknows » Fri Apr 10, 2015 6:49 pm

Have a look at the GreenUp Fast.xlsm workbook in this thread viewtopic.php?f=12&t=7844
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Re: Green up help needed

Postby Captain Sensible » Sat Apr 11, 2015 2:49 pm

The maths behind greening up a bet with equal win/loss regardless of the result is pretty simple. You're basically working out how much you're due to win/lose then dividing that by the new odds to give your the stake needed to acheive that.

Say we back £10 @ 3's so our overall return (including our stake) is £30 (3x10) , say the new odds are 2.5 - to work out the stake we need to lay at 2.5 we simply 30 divided by 2.5 i.e. £12 to give us a greened up field of £2

Horse wins
We won £20 but have to pay out £18 from laying £12 @ 2.5 so £20 less £18 = £2 profit

Horse loses
We lose our £10 stake but win £12 stake from the lay so again overall profit of £12 less £10 = £2 profit.

Where you have multiple bets you'd just add all the returns together then divide that by the new odds to give you the stake

so as simple as

new_stake = (old_stake X old_odds) / new_odds
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Re: Green up help needed

Postby bolpx001 » Sat Apr 11, 2015 7:32 pm

Thanks Captain Sensible, I think I see where I am going wrong, thank you, I was basing everything on my original stake and it should have bee the probable return - best regards Paul
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Sports betting software from Gruss Software


The strength of Gruss Software is that it’s been designed by one of you, a frustrated sports punter, and then developed by listening to dozens of like-minded enthusiasts.

Gruss is owned and run by brothers Gary and Mark Russell. Gary discovered Betfair in 2004 and soon realised that using bespoke software to place bets was much more efficient than merely placing them through the website.

Gary built his own software and then enhanced its features after trialling it through other Betfair users and reacting to their improvement ideas, something that still happens today.

He started making a small monthly charge so he could work on it full-time and then recruited Mark to help develop the products and Gruss Software was born.

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